arlos wrote:The Iraqi government, no matter how "elected" is, in all practical terms, a puppet government of the US. It would collapse rapidly if not for US support, and their senior leadership takes orders directly from the white house. The people in government aren't stupid, do you honestly think they'd accept a deal with terms twice as poor as normal if they weren't doing so under direct pressure and orders from the US government? Get real.
First of all they have not accepted the deal, you speak as if it is certain that they will. The situation is pretty dynamic, it is in everyones best interest for Iraq to get it's oil production online. This can either happen with aid which will expedite the process or without, which will likely be incredibly slow. Iraq has a huge bargaining chip if you will in that while they need the help to expedite production, if they choose to hold out we will offer a better deal, because in the end we want their production back online just as much as they do. Again what has yet to be proven is if what has been offered is really twice as poor as normal in the long run. Faced with a balance between getting aid to get things going and getting profit in the short term it may very well be in Iraq's best interest to allow for some short term poorer deal if it garners faster initialization. What will be better, more of a percentage for the short term with slower development (and consequently less revenue), or a worse percentage for a time with faster rebuild possibly generating more revenue to offset the worse then average deal. Again as I have stated if the 20 percent is double the average then I have an issue with it, if the double the average is only in the 75 percent then it may very well be beneficial to both sides.
arlos wrote:Lueyen, apparently you've missed the constantly changing publicly given reason for going to Iraq in the first place. Before it happened, it was 95% about "WMD! WMD!", with short shrift given to any other ideas. Of course, once we got there and found that not only didn't they have any, they weren't TRYING to make any, we needed another reason in a hurry. So, it became "Overthrowing Saddam!" When that paled in popularity, suddenly it was "Seeding Democracy in the Middle East!", as if you could force real representative democracy on people with the barrel of a gun. Riiiiight.
For the part of our society that is based in ignorant 20 second news blips who care little about anything beyond that which directly and immediately threatens to affect them your statement is true. For those of us that realize complex situations and events can't always be boiled down to a 20 second sound bite the things you state are not due to finding new reasons, but are milestones of progression.[/quote]
arlos wrote:Hell, people in the middle east can see first hand this administration's devotion to Democracy. Hamas, legally and democratically elected. We don't happen to like them, so boom, no more money, and we support abrogating their constitution to get them out of power, like Abbas was suggesting. Lebanon, who we helped get into power, was SCREAMING at us to step in and stop Israel from blowing their entire country into the stone age, and we sat back and watched. Now, next election, I bet you anything Hezbollah will be democratically elected into power, and again, boom, no more money. Oh yes, the people there see quite well our devotion to "Democracy". It's been self-serving self-interest based, tied solely to groups we like, and completely independant of actual democratic principles.
Oh that's rich. I guess you think we should cozy up with a terrorist organization because they managed to be democratically elected? Support of a democratic process does not mandate support of a hostile government. Israel did not blow their entire country to the stone age, the majority of attacks by Israel were surgical with definitive targets, that is not to say there wasn't collateral damage, but by in large the attacks were not indiscriminate, in contrast to Hezbollah which was just trying to dump as many rockets as they could into Israel with no regard as to what they hit.... of course lets not forget what started the whole incident, Hezboallah could have stopped attacks at any time without our aid.
arlos wrote:So, with those false reasons out of the way, what are we left with: Oil. Lets see, which groups of companies did Bush and Cheney have the closest ties to before the Iraq war: Oil companies and Halliburton. Gee, which companies have made record profits as a result of the Iraq war, funny, it's Halliburton and the Oil companies. Yes, I know oil companies are technically selling oil at market value, but guess what: the war in Iraq DROVE UP THAT MARKET VALUE. By a factor of 2, at least, because it contributed to instability in the region, which causes investor fears, which raises prices. Meanwhile, despite making record profits, the oil companies fail to do maintanence work they are legally required to do, and we get things like the recent pipe failures and large oil spills in the north slope/prudhoe bay area. Suuuure they could drill in ANWR with no environmental impact. Riiiiight. Bullshit.
Accidents do happen in any manufacturing environment. With the scale and scope of what petroleum companies do, if your specific incident was an indicator of the norm, the accidents would be a whole hell of a lot more numerous. I know for a fact that in most cases petroleum countries do not merely meet government standards for safety, but exceed them on their own volition. Not only do they not want the political ramifications of accidents but they also don't want the expense of clean up, and the loss of profits due to downtime.
arlos wrote:In any case, no matter how you look at it, this has been the single most mis-managed war in US history. McClellan, Pope, Burnside or Hooker would have done better jobs, I swear, and they're KNOWN for their laughably bad generalship. (look up some facts on the Civil War, if you have no idea who I'm referring to.) Hell, remember when Wolfowitz went before Congress and said that the war wouldn't cost US taxpayers a dime? He's been wrong to the tune of what, going on 1 trillion dollars at this point? A TRILLION FUCKING DOLLARS. How can anyone be so incompetant as to be THAT wrong and hold a post higher than 3rd assistant Janitor somewhere? At least Enron only defrauded people of 60 billion or so...
-Arlos
As far as how the war has been managed you are welcome to your opinions /shurg. What I look at is what has been accomplished, and the milestones you look at as changing rational. As far as Wolfowitz, telling congress it wouldn't cost a dime, you are wrong. One of the things opponents were raising hell about was the lack of concrete estimates of the cost of military operations. Interestingly enough at the time the reasons given for lack of concrete estimates centered around the the unknowns that we have run into, things like ethic tensions ect. I believe what you are referring to is comments that he made about the reconstruction of Iraq being funded by Iraqi oil production. Reconstruction and the cost of war time operations are two different things.
arlos wrote:No US company or governmental body should receive 1 cent from any Iraqi oil. Period. Every last drop should go to charging up the Iraqi economy, giving jobs to those who need it, and rebuilding their infrastructure. No western oil company should reap *ANY* profit WHATSOEVER from that oil.
If they do, it is just proof of the naked imperialistic profit-mongering intent behind the war, without even the veneer of "spreading democracy" that they are currently operating under. What RIGHT do we have to that oil, beyond the right of naked conquest? (and it seems to me, the FIRST gulf war was fought because we were OPPOSED to someone siezing oil rights by naked conquest....)
-Arlos
It would not be realistic to expect any company to help in the reconstruction and rebuilding in Iraq for zero profit. You are being idealistic, not realistic. What would you have done Arlos? Without an incentive of profit, you will not get any company to help rebuild. Would you rather see Iraq go at it alone, at a drastically slower pace? In the end it's not as if any companies making profits from the reconstruction efforts should be of any real surprise, that is what was stated pre-war, that the cost of reconstruction could be financed by Iraq's oil production. Did you really think that the "bill" for reconstruction would be at cost?