Tossica wrote:Right now we have so much corn, the government pays farmers to NOT grow it. I wouldn't worry about a corn shortage.
That may be in the here and now, however there is another problem in the picture that has really only started to manifest in recent years. Much of the irrigation for crops in the middle of the country comes from a giant underground water table. The problem is that for some time more water is being used then replenished. This regardless of adding additional demands for bio-fuel is going to be an on going problem and frankly is something to be concerned with either way.
The real problem is that a gallon of ethanol is not as efficient as a gallon of gasoline, and the amount of acreage it takes to produce is quite substantial.
Also farmers paid not to grow corn, generally grow something else, encourage them due to demand to produce corn and you start sliming down production of something else for instance wheat or soybeans.
There are a lot more aspects of this then just comparing our surplus corn production to the equivalent projected usage of ethanol... and frankly those projections are staggering anyway (like around 25 percent).
More likely we'll actually still be importing fuel, but instead of the middle east it would come from South America as sugar cane is a much better base for ethanol. And while that might make more sense, again our energy dependence is on foreign sources.
Tikker wrote:I think canola is higher yield for oil than corn anyway
If the goal is for energy independence then canola unless it can be grown in the US (and I'm not quite sure how well it would do as a crop) is again placing our dependence outside our own resources, albeit with less volatile sources (60 percent of the canola oil produced comes from Canada).
Any idea on the comparison between canola as a base and sugar cane? Frankly if we are going to be importing fuel I'd rather be importing from Canada then many of the South American countries.